Ammonia Market Outlook

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Ammonia Market Outlook

A Subscription Provides:

  • Four quarterly reports. This will ensure that you are kept briefed on the industry throughout the year
  • Online access to the full report
  • Access to CRU's analysts in London, Mumbai and Beijing
  • Diagrams downloadable in Powerpoint format
  • Supporting data downloadable in Excel format

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CRU's Ammonia Market Outlook, published Thursday 30th June 2016, reports we are still expecting weak energy markets and new merchant capacity to put downwards pressure on ammonia prices. CRU ConsultantAnders Isberg writes "beyond 2017 we are expecting prices to rebound. However, with lower freight costs and a significant ramp up in new capacity, we have lowered the structural North American price premium over the Black Sea."

CRU - Developments in our Market Outlooks

At CRU we are constantly investing in our research to provide you with the most comprehensive analysis and forecasting service anywhere in the world.  Our outlooks are now published in a new format which will be easier to use and with transparent and robust methodologies covering supply, demand, and pricing - both in the medium and long term.

CRU's Ammonia Market Outlook now offers you:

  • New Crop Demand Model: CRU has developed its analysis of agriculture markets to create a country level crop-by-crop nutrient demand model, based on trends in planted acreage and application rates. Combined with our insights into current market trends and the feedback of crop prices and fertilizer prices into short term demand, this provides you with a unique view of future fertilizer demand by nutrient, providing the strongest ever foundation for our commodity demand analysis.
  • A clear system of assessing ammonia capacity: CRU's comprehensive site by site databases of current and planned supply provides a robust and transparent forecast of ammonia capacity. This transparency allows you to clearly understand our data and develop your own scenarios.
  • Robust price forecasting methodology: The Ammonia Market Outlook uses supply and demand analysis to provide a detailed forecast for prices, with a particular focus on the upside and downside risk in the short to medium term. You will be provided with a detailed rationale on price movements with insights into the drivers behind the price change. Our robust methodology will give you the confidence you need to use this data in your own analysis.
  • New long-term price analysis: The Ammonia Market Outlook will now provide you with a separate appendix covering supply, demand and price forecasts in the long term.  This ensures you have a unique view of market fundamentals for the next 25 years, supporting your long-term decisions.
  • Regular, consistent and up-to-date market intelligence:  Each publication will provide a consistent and up to date view of the market, leading to the most robust forecast available, clearly explained and with a fuller executive summary.  The Ammonia Market Outlook is published every three months, ensuring you are kept thoroughly updated on the market throughout the year.
  • Indepth coverage of nitrogen markets: CRU's analysts based on the ground in the UK, USA, Chile, India and China provide up-to-date and insightful analysis from within the market place. 
  • Exclusive access to our analysts: CRU has four analysts dedicated to nitrogen. As a client, you can phone or email our analysts to discuss our forecast and insight into the market. We can also arrange face to face meetings at your offices.

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Ammonia Cost Curve

Benchmark costs at global ammonia plants from 2010-2019. Part of CRU's Nitrogen Cost Curve Database.

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