Lavan is CRU's Research Director and in this role, he is responsible for CRU's models and methodologies. He has twenty years of experience as an applied economist, with first-hand experience of a very wide range of applied economic techniques.
Lavan joined CRU in March 2014 from the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies where he was a Senior Research Fellow on oil, macroeconomics and finance. Prior to that, he worked for 16 years in the Bank of England, on a variety of roles but specializing in econometrics, modelling and forecasting.
He has edited or co-edited four books on monetary policy and the transmission mechanism of interest rates, one of which was awarded central banking book of the year, and is widely published in leading journals, most recently on the financialization of commodity markets.
At CRU, he has worked with our consulting team across most sectors, most notably in demand and price forecasting, as well as in assisting our clients with the preparation of scenarios using industry knowledge and expertise.
Lavan has a PhD from the European University Institute, a Masters from Warwick and a BA from Trinity College Cambridge. He speaks Spanish fluently.
The client, a Japanese trading house, asked us to aid their strategy development process by defining, separating and estimating the super cycles in historical commodity...