Scientists are warning that current climate conditions are gradually shifting towards a powerful El Nino cycle. Early predictions point to a rare "Super El Niño" event by the end of the year - a phenomenon that historically inflicts catastrophic impact on the world economy.
How El Niño affects commodity markets and the global economy
This isn't just a weather story; it's an economic one. The economic impact of El Niño can act as a multiplier for global risk, leading to:
- Rising Inflation: As food and energy prices spike.
- Supply Chain Disruption: From droughts impacting hydropower to changing water levels in critical trade arteries, disrupting the flow of steel and other raw materials.
- Market Volatility: As supply chain in various commodity markets are disrupted and energy demand soars.
In a world already facing uncertainty, the Super El Niño potentially demands a new level of strategic preparation. CRU is here to provide the specific, granular intelligence your business needs to mitigate risk, adapt strategy, and make decisive moves.
Our team can help you answer your most pressing questions with tailored data and expert advice.
Supply Disruption and Super El Nino: Asian Fertilizer Markets Reality Check in 2026
Webinar
Join CRU for a timely market reality check covering prices, supply disruption and weather risk across South Asia, Southeast Asia and Oceania. Our fertilizer experts will explain the global-to-local market connections and the indicators that matter most for procurement, commercial and supply-chain planning.
Register now