Scientists are warning that current climate conditions are gradually shifting towards a powerful El Nino cycle. Early predictions point to a rare "Super El Niño" event by the end of the year - a phenomenon that historically inflicts catastrophic impact on the world economy. 
Seedlings on cracked soil in dry season depicting the Super El Nino climate
How El Niño affects commodity markets and the global economy 

The economic impact of El Niño can act as a multiplier for global risk, leading to:

  • Rising Inflation: As food prices spike and energy prices climb. 
  • Supply Chain Disruption:  From droughts impacting hydropower and exacerbating crop failures to extreme rainfall events damaging infrastructure and disrupting the production and flow of raw materials.     
  • Market Volatility: As supply chain in various commodity markets are disrupted and energy demand soars.

In a world already facing uncertainty, the potential 'Super' El Niño demands a new level of strategic preparation. CRU is here to provide the specific, granular intelligence your business needs to mitigate risk, adapt strategy, and make decisive moves.  

Our team can help you answer your most pressing questions with tailored data and expert advice. 

Contact our team now

Explore Our Super El Niño Insight Series

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Supply Disruption and Super El Nino: Asian Fertilizer Markets Reality Check in 2026

Webinar

In this recent webinar, CRU fertilizer experts provided a timely market reality check covering prices, supply disruption and weather risk across South Asia, Southeast Asia and Oceania. Watch the on-demand recording to understand the global-to-local market connections and the indicators that matter most for procurement, commercial and supply-chain planning.

Watch the recording